De aqui al Viernes, por supuesto, hay que hablar de fútbol y hay que parecer entendido, aportar datos estadisticos y sapiencia futbolistica.
Si no estas muy puesto(a), aqui te paso una receta muy sencilla para dar el pego.
Elige al azar una opción de cada grupo de los de abajo y forma una frase.
Ejemplos:
1, 2, 3, 4 == Historicamente | nunca | nos ha favorecido | jugar despues de una victoria holgada frente a Honduras
4, 3, 2, 1 == En la era Aragosnes-Del Bosque | en un 35% de las ocasiones | han sido una pesadilla | las situaciones de triple empate
Grupo A:
1) Historicamente
2) En los ultimos 14 mundiales
3) En la era Aragones-Del Bosque
Grupo B:
1) ... siempre ...
2) ... nunca ...
3) ... en un 35% de las ocasiones ...
Grupo C:
1) ... nos hemos encontrado comodos ...
2) ... ha sido una pesadilla ....
3) ... nos ha favorecido ...
4) ... hemos sabido reaccionar a tiempo ...
Grupo D:
1) ... en las situaciones de triple empate.
2) ... jugarlo todo a una carta contra equipos sudamericamos.
3) ... partidos a cara de perro con Chile.
4) ... jugar despues de una victoria holgada frente Honduras.
Se aceptan mas alternativas, ponedlas en comentarios y actualizo el post
España !!!!!!
21 junio 2010
Dropbox
If you want to sign up on Dropbox and, at the same time, give me some extra storage, click here.
Dropbox is a Web-based file hosting service operated by Dropbox, Inc. which uses cloud computing to enable users to store and share files and folders with others across the Internet using file synchronization.
More info on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dropbox_(service)
Dropbox is a Web-based file hosting service operated by Dropbox, Inc. which uses cloud computing to enable users to store and share files and folders with others across the Internet using file synchronization.
More info on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dropbox_(service)
19 junio 2010
Sobre mi Sony VAIO
Después de haber usado mi Sony Vaio durante algo más de un año, no estoy enteramente contento con él.
Veo dos problemas, la duración de la batería y el peso.
Me di realmente cuenta durante un congreso de tres días en el que pretendia utilizar el portátil para tomar notas de las conferencias. Bueno, pues me daba para las dos primeras conferencias solamente, a las dos horas, estaba muerto y como no habia enchufes disponibles en el recinto de FiraMilano (otro fallo) pues me tocaba tomar notas con papel y boli ... so old fashion ;-)
El peso también lo note al tener que cargarlo todo día de una sala de conferencias a otra.
Conclusion, el Sony Vaio no es realmente un ordenador portátil, sino mas bien un ordenador pequeño, bueno para tenerlo en casa, usarlo en el sofá, bien enchufadido y sin tener que cargarlo en una mochila.
Aqui teneis el post de mis impresiones el día que lo compré post
Veo dos problemas, la duración de la batería y el peso.
Me di realmente cuenta durante un congreso de tres días en el que pretendia utilizar el portátil para tomar notas de las conferencias. Bueno, pues me daba para las dos primeras conferencias solamente, a las dos horas, estaba muerto y como no habia enchufes disponibles en el recinto de FiraMilano (otro fallo) pues me tocaba tomar notas con papel y boli ... so old fashion ;-)
El peso también lo note al tener que cargarlo todo día de una sala de conferencias a otra.
Conclusion, el Sony Vaio no es realmente un ordenador portátil, sino mas bien un ordenador pequeño, bueno para tenerlo en casa, usarlo en el sofá, bien enchufadido y sin tener que cargarlo en una mochila.
Aqui teneis el post de mis impresiones el día que lo compré post
15 junio 2010
Perform quantitative risk analysis
As it is described in a previous post, when risk management is applied to the whole project plan in a quantitative manner, phase duration becomes a statistical distribution rather than a deterministic figure. It also allows having an overall impact estimation for individual risk or for the combined occurrence of more than one risk.
This approach makes the project plan more realistic but also more complex and difficult to report and understand. Which of the two approaches should we use? Well, again, it depends on the specific project.
Some of the results of such analysis might be: probability of finishing the project on time and / or within budget and contingency reserve estimated to ensure the required level of confidence
One of the most known tools for this process is the Monte Carlo simulation and decision tree analysis.
Notes taken during my study of "Practice standard for Project Risk Management" from PMI
This approach makes the project plan more realistic but also more complex and difficult to report and understand. Which of the two approaches should we use? Well, again, it depends on the specific project.
Some of the results of such analysis might be: probability of finishing the project on time and / or within budget and contingency reserve estimated to ensure the required level of confidence
One of the most known tools for this process is the Monte Carlo simulation and decision tree analysis.
Notes taken during my study of "Practice standard for Project Risk Management" from PMI
07 junio 2010
Perform qualitative risk analysis
The purpose of this process is to assess identified project risks in order to prioritize them. Such assessment consists of evaluating the probability that each risk will occur and the impact of each individual risk on the project objectives. Other factors can be: urgency or proximity, (un)manageability and external impact.
As part of this qualitative analysis, the risks must be classified by their root cause as well as by the common effects. Looking at the most important root causes and common effects will help to drive mitigation efforts.
Each risk must be assessed according to probability of occurrence.
This qualitative analysis should be done on periodical basis throughout the project as the information to analyse risks will be more and different as the project moves forward.
The deliverable of this process is a contribution to the risk register document; it adds information like impact, probability and priority to every identified risk. Typically, the high priority risks will be analysed in detail and monitored frequently while the low priority ones will placed in a watched list and reviewed less often.
Notes taken during my study of "Practice standard for Project Risk Management" from PMI
As part of this qualitative analysis, the risks must be classified by their root cause as well as by the common effects. Looking at the most important root causes and common effects will help to drive mitigation efforts.
Each risk must be assessed according to probability of occurrence.
This qualitative analysis should be done on periodical basis throughout the project as the information to analyse risks will be more and different as the project moves forward.
The deliverable of this process is a contribution to the risk register document; it adds information like impact, probability and priority to every identified risk. Typically, the high priority risks will be analysed in detail and monitored frequently while the low priority ones will placed in a watched list and reviewed less often.
Notes taken during my study of "Practice standard for Project Risk Management" from PMI
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